The Independent Thinking

The Independent Thinking

Monthly Letters

Protected from certain uncertainty

Bonds... collateral... liquidity...fragility

Marcelo Marini's avatar
Marcelo Marini
Feb 18, 2026
∙ Paid

Today we write about capital flows, market dynamics, and the forces shaping Brazil’s financial landscape…

This is the Monthly Strategic Intelligence edition… as we continue to try to understand how the business and financial world works, avoid costly mistakes that can deploy significant amounts of capital and time… prevent mistakes and poor decision‑making.

In this paid edition we bring independent thinking hypotheses that nobody has written about… unconventional reflections on Brazil’s “booming” financial markets, exploring why capital is flowing in, what global investors are seeing in overlooked opportunities, and how these dynamics may also introduce new BIG fragility.

It pays to think independently.

a view of a city from a window
Photo by Sven Godec on Unsplash

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